2014 Oscar Predictions!

Some categories are hard to predict this year. Others are fairly easy. So let’s get straight to it – these are my predictions for the 2014 Academy Awards. The nominations are announced on Thursday…get excited!

Best Picture

It is nigh impossible to accurately predict the Best Picture nominees these days, as we don’t know how many nominees there will be. There can be between five and ten nominees, so I’ve listed ten potential nominees here in order of their likelihood to be nominated. Ergo, if there are only five nominees, then I predict it will be these first five; if there are eight, then I think it will be the first eight here. I have correctly predicted all the Best Picture nominees for the last three years, but I am not particularly confident of my ordering of these immanent nominees.

  1. 12 Years a Slave
  2. American Hustle
  3. Gravity
  4. Captain Phillips
  5. Her
  6. Philomena
  7. Nebraska
  8. The Wolf of Wall Street
  9. Inside Llewyn Davis
  10. Dallas Buyers Club

Spoiler: Saving Mr. Banks

Best Director

  1. Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
  2. Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
  3. David O Russell – American Hustle
  4. Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
  5. Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street

Spoiler: Spike Jonze – Her

Best Actress

  1. Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
  2. Amy Adams – American Hustle
  3. Judi Dench – Philomena
  4. Sandra Bullock – Gravity
  5. Emma Thompson – Saving Mr. Banks

Spoiler: Meryl Streep – August: Osage County

Best Actor

Wow. This is a really, really tough one.

  1. Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
  2. Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
  3. Bruce Dern – Nebraska
  4. Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips
  5. Robert Redford – All Is Lost

Spoiler: I would not be at all surprised to see Leonardo DiCaprio (The Wolf of Wall Street) or Christian Bale (American Hustle) nominated instead of Robert Redford or even Tom Hanks. There really are seven contenders running in a five horse race here (I’m sure I just mixed about seven metaphors). I would say the first three here are locks, but the remaining two spots are being fought for by four actors. I’d love to see Oscar Isaac (Inside Llewyn Davis) in the race as well, but he’s an outside chance.

Best Supporting Actress

  1. Jennifer Lawrence – American Hustle
  2. Oprah Winfrey – The Butler
  3. Lupita Nyong’o – 12 Years a Slave
  4. Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
  5. Sally Hawkins – Blue Jasmine

Spoiler: June Squibb – Nebraska

Best Supporting Actor

  1. Jarrod Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
  2. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
  3. Barkhad Adbi – Captain Phillips
  4. Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
  5. Daniel Bruhl – Rush

Spoiler: Bradley Cooper – American Hustle

AMERICAN-HUSTLE-1Best Original Screenplay

  1. David O Russell and Eric Singer – American Hustle
  2. Joel and Ethan Coen – Inside Llewyn Davis
  3. Spike Jonze – Her
  4. Bob Nelson – Nebraska
  5. Woody Allen – Blue Jasmine

Spoiler: Nicole Holofcener – Enough Said

Best Adapted Screenplay

  1. John Ridley – 12 Years a Slave
  2. Terrence Winter – The Wolf of Wall Street
  3. Billy Ray – Captain Phillips
  4. Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope – Philomena
  5. Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy and Ethan Hawke – Before Midnight

Spoiler: Tracy Letts – August: Osage County

Best Cinematography

  1. Emmanuel Lubezki – Gravity
  2. Sean Bobbitt – 12 Years a Slave
  3. Bruno Delbonnel – Inside Llewyn Davis
  4. Roger Deakins – Prisoners
  5. Phedon Papamichael – Nebraska

Spoiler: Barry Ackroyd – Captain Phillips

Best Editing

  1. Alfonso Cuaron and Mark Sanger – Gravity
  2. Christopher Rouse – Captain Phillips
  3. Joe Walker – 12 Years a Slave
  4. Jay Cassidy and Crispin Struthers – American Hustle
  5. Thelma Schoonmaker – The Wolf of Wall Street

Spoiler: Roderick Jaynes (i.e. Joel and Ethan Coen) – Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Foreign Language Film

  1. The Great Beauty
  2. The Hunt
  3. The Grandmaster
  4. The Broken Circle Breakdown
  5. Omar

Films like Wadjda and The Past were not shortlisted, and are therefore ineligible to be nominated, while Blue is the Warmest Colour was not even France’s official entry, thus eliminating any chance of being nominated from the outset. Blue is the Warmest Colour still has some outside chances to be nominated in the Actress and Screenplay categories.

Best Documentary Feature

  1. Stories We Tell
  2. The Act of Killing
  3. Blackfish
  4. The Crash Reel
  5. Twenty Feet From Stardom

Spoiler: The Square

Best Animated Feature

  1. Frozen
  2. Monsters University
  3. The Wind Rises
  4. Despicable Me 2
  5. Ernest and Celestine

Spoiler: The Croods

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